Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mjallby AIF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Vasteraas SK (-1.5) | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF (-2.5) | 0% |
| Vasteraas SK (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Vasteraas SK O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Vasteraas SK O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Vasteraas SK O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Vasteraas SK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Vasteraas SK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Mjällby AIF and Västerås SK are set to face off in an Allsvenskan fixture at Strandvallen this evening, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 CEST. The match represents a standard mid-table clash in Swedish top-flight football, yet the associated prediction market shows zero crowd-implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting traders see no immediate catalyst for the specific event being priced.
Historically, Allsvenskan markets with 0% initial probability often reflect either a mispriced condition or a lack of liquidity driven by payment friction rather than genuine sporting consensus. Comparable cases from the 2024 season show that when on-ramp barriers like Klarna or SEPA delays surface, book depth thins rapidly, leaving probabilities artificially suppressed until funding rails stabilise. The current 0% reading likely mirrors this liquidity gap rather than a definitive sporting forecast.
Traders should monitor announcements regarding deposit fee adjustments and withdrawal rail availability, particularly Klarna integration updates, as these directly influence capital flow into the market. Recent coverage of Swedish betting platforms highlights that payment friction remains the primary bottleneck for retail participation in niche football markets [1]. Until withdrawal rails like USDC or SEPA operate without delay, the market’s book depth will remain constrained, keeping the probability anchored near zero regardless of in-game developments.
Methodology
This page compares Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK - More Markets on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →