Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 91% |
| IK Sirius (-1.5) | 84% |
| IK Sirius O/U 2.5 | 82% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 71% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 62% |
| IK Sirius (-2.5) | 60% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 59% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 55% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 0.5 | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score | 51% |
| Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Halmstads BK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Halmstads BK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 15% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 2.5 | 3% |
| Halmstads BK (-1.5) | 1% |
| Halmstads BK (-2.5) | 1% |
Market context
Halmstads BK and IK Sirius meet in an Allsvenskan match on 3 August, and the “more markets” contract is currently priced at just 1% Yes, indicating the market expects little addition beyond the core pre-match book. That low crowd-implied figure is consistent with the wider match pricing, which has Sirius as a clear away favourite and shows heavy shading towards standard result, goals and BTTS lines rather than a broad secondary menu of player, card or niche prop coverage.[1][2][3]
For historical framing, the right comparison is with matches where the favourite is dominant but the exchange book is still thin on ancillary markets: liquidity tends to cluster around the main 1X2 and goals ladders, while extra propositions only widen if there is enough pre-funding and active participation to support them. Recent market snapshots show Sirius trading at roughly 1.4 away odds, with Halmstad and the draw far longer, which usually leaves less scope for deep book-building in side markets unless there is a late surge in attention or an operator explicitly expands the menu.[2][4][13]
The main catalysts to watch are not team news alone, but payment and funding flow around the event window: if deposits clear smoothly through Klarna, SEPA or USDC, that can lift available balances and improve depth in secondary markets before settlement. Any announcement on same-day deposit limits, withdrawal timing, or rail availability can matter disproportionately for a low-probability “more markets” contract, because these products depend on whether traders can top up quickly enough to quote and take smaller, less liquid prices.
Methodology
This page compares Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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