North America Regional Qualifier: Qualify to The International

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the North American Regional Qualifier for The International 2026, a single-slot tournament for Dota 2 scheduled to conclude on 28 June 2026. With the current crowd-implied probability at 0% for any North American team qualifying, the market reflects a near-total consensus that the region will fail to secure a spot, likely due to the absence of a top-tier contender or a structural disadvantage in the qualifier pool.

Historically, North America has struggled to convert regional qualifier slots into International group stage entries, particularly in recent years where the region’s best teams often fell in open qualifiers or lost to stronger Asian and European rivals. Comparable cases include TI 2024 and TI 2025, where North America’s regional qualifiers produced no direct group stage participants, reinforcing the pattern that a 0% probability is not an anomaly but a continuation of a long-standing trend.

Traders should monitor the final qualifier results announced on 28 June and the official TI 2026 group stage participant list, which must be published before 15 August 2026. Any delay or cancellation of the qualifier would resolve this market to “Other,” a risk tied to funding flows and on-ramp friction: if deposit fees, withdrawal rails (Klarna, SEPA, USDC), or payment processing issues deter liquidity, book depth may thin, increasing volatility. A recent announcement from Dota 2 confirmed the qualifier schedule and slot allocation, underscoring the tight timeline and high stakes for the region [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Klarna UK?

Zero. Polymarket Klarna UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.