Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: 2+ Touchdowns | 100% |
| Ollie Gordon II: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Rashee Rice: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Kenneth Walker: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 100% |
| Ollie Gordon II: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| De'Von Achane: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 50% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Brashard Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Brashard Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Chris Bell: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Chris Bell: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Cyrus Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Cyrus Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Greg Dulcich: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jake Briningstool: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jake Briningstool: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jalen Royals: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jalen Royals: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jared Wiley: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jared Wiley: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Justin Joly: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Justin Joly: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Malik Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Malik Washington: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Malik Willis: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Nikko Remigio: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Nikko Remigio: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Noah Gray: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Noah Gray: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ollie Gordon II: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Rashee Rice: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ryan Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Ryan Miller: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Seydou Traore: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Seydou Traore: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Will Kacmarek: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Will Kacmarek: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Brashard Smith: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Chris Bell: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Cyrus Allen: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Jake Briningstool: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Jalen Royals: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Jared Wiley: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Justin Joly: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Malik Washington: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Nikko Remigio: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Noah Gray: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Rashee Rice: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Ryan Miller: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Seydou Traore: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Will Kacmarek: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 0% |
| Xavier Worthy: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs) | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
Market context
Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 100% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-27T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Methodology
This page compares Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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