Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Falcons vs. Colts | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Colts O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Atlanta and Indianapolis met in a scheduled NFL preseason game at Lucas Oil Stadium on 22 August, with the Colts listed as the home side and multiple live listings showing a 1:00 p.m. ET kick-off; the result was recorded as Falcons 34-6 Colts. That makes a crowd-implied 100% YES reading unsurprising if the market had already absorbed the final score before the settlement window closed, because there is no room left for uncertainty once the game is complete.[1][2][15]
Comparable NFL money has a habit of snapping to the final once a result is posted, especially in short-lived preseason fixtures where there is little weather or injury suspense and the main risk is administrative rather than sporting. The key frictions here are payments, not prediction: fast deposits and low-fee rails tend to concentrate depth, while slower on-ramp methods can leave books thin until balances clear, which is why markets often harden after a burst of funding rather than gradually during the day.[1][2]
For traders, the catalysts are straightforward: official completion status, any postponement notice, and whether the event clears settlement before the stated window closes. In a payment-led cluster, depth is usually driven by fresh inflows through cards, bank transfer rails such as SEPA, or stablecoin deposits such as USDC, while options like Klarna matter most when they reduce checkout friction and increase the number of accounts able to fund quickly; if no delay was announced, the move to a full YES price is best read as a function of completed-game certainty and ready cash on the platform rather than a live view on football.[4][15]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $74K.
Methodology
This page compares Falcons vs. Colts with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade Falcons vs. Colts on Polymarket Klarna UK
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