D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal

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Active sub-markets

Market context

D.C. United will travel to Montréal for a regular-season MLS fixture on 23 May 2026. The 10% implied probability reflects a strong historical advantage for the home side; CF Montréal have won 12 of their last 18 encounters at Stade Saputo against D.C. United, whilst the visitors have secured only three victories in that span. D.C. United's away record in 2025–26 sits at 4 wins from 14 matches, placing them amongst the weaker travelling sides in the Eastern Conference. Montréal's home form, by contrast, has yielded 7 wins in 11 outings, suggesting the current market pricing reflects genuine structural advantage rather than sentiment drift.

Traders monitoring this market should track squad availability announcements in the fortnight before kickoff. D.C. United's injury list—particularly any absences amongst their attacking midfield—will shape their capacity to breach Montréal's defensive shape. MLS fixture congestion in May often triggers late team news; official lineups typically release 24 hours pre-match. Montréal's recent fixture schedule and travel fatigue, if they've played midweek, could narrow the gap, though this remains secondary to their home-ground record.

Liquidity depth on this market correlates directly with deposit flows through SEPA and Klarna payment rails. Markets with shallow books—typical of lower-probability outcomes—often see wider spreads. At 10% YES, traders seeking to back D.C. United should verify available withdrawal options before committing capital, as thinly-traded outcomes can face settlement delays if volume remains concentrated amongst a small cohort of depositors.

Methodology

This page reviews D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.