Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
81% | 19% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
81% | 19% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 81% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 56% |
| O/U 8.5 | 56% |
| NRFI | 55% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals | 53% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| Extra Innings | 11% |
Market context
The Philadelphia Phillies face the St. Louis Cardinals on 10 August at 7:45PM ET in a regular-season matchup. Settlement occurs seven days later, allowing sufficient window for postponements or make-up fixtures. The 53% crowd probability reflects modest backing for a Phillies victory, suggesting the market perceives near-parity between the two franchises at the point of trading.
Historical matchups between these clubs show competitive balance. Over the past five seasons, the Phillies hold a marginal edge in head-to-head records, though regular-season outcomes diverge significantly from playoff performance where the Cardinals have demonstrated resilience. Comparable August fixtures in 2023 and 2024 settled within 2–3 percentage points of opening odds when both teams remained in playoff contention, indicating that mid-summer divisional games attract steady liquidity and stable pricing. The current 53% reading aligns with pre-game consensus when neither side carries injury-related uncertainty.
Traders should monitor roster updates through 9 August, particularly starting pitcher assignments and bullpen availability. Recent Cardinals announcements regarding injury status will influence deposit flows and position sizing; traders accessing the market via Klarna instalment rails or SEPA transfers should account for settlement timing when planning cash deployment. Withdrawal availability through USDC and traditional banking channels remains active throughout the settlement window, though high-volume exits post-resolution may experience standard processing delays. Weather forecasts for the fixture date and any late-breaking lineup changes will drive final probability shifts in the 24 hours before first pitch.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $74K.
Methodology
This page compares Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →