Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 6.5 | 48% |
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox | 46% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| O/U 8.5 | 28% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 18% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 15% |
| Extra Innings | 13% |
| NRFI | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
Market context
The New York Yankees are playing the Chicago White Sox in Chicago, and the market’s 46% YES price implies a slight lean towards the Yankees being a live underdog rather than a clear favourite. ESPN’s live preview has the White Sox at 56-51, the Yankees at 61-47, and the line around White Sox -115 versus Yankees -106, which is close enough to suggest the book sees a near coin-flip game with a small home edge.[8]
Recent head-to-head form gives the Yankees the stronger frame: they have won four of six meetings this season and took the latest game 9-5 on 27 July, after a 12-2 win in mid-June.[2][7] That matters for pricing because traders often anchor to recent series results, but it should be balanced against the White Sox’s home record, which ESPN lists at 33-21, and the Yankees’ 35-24 road mark, both of which keep the matchup in a narrow range rather than a one-sided spot.[8]
For traders, the main catalysts are late lineup news, any pitching change, and whether the game starts on time and completes without interruption, since postponement would keep the market open until a result is recorded, while a cancellation or tie would settle 50-50 under the rules. On a market like this, book depth tends to widen or tighten with deposit friction: fast on-ramps such as card or wallet funding can concentrate order flow quickly, while slower bank rails such as SEPA, plus easier withdrawal options like USDC, affect how quickly fresh capital can recycle into new positions.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $242K.
Methodology
This page compares New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox on Polymarket Klarna UK
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