Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 79% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 65% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Extra Innings | 50% |
| O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| O/U 8.5 | 40% |
| New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves | 36% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| NRFI | 0% |
Market context
The Mets travel to Atlanta on 12 August for an evening fixture against the Braves, with first pitch at 7:15 PM ET. Current market pricing reflects a 36% implied probability of a Mets victory, suggesting the Braves are favoured in this National League East matchup. Settlement occurs by 19 August, allowing a week's window for postponements or rescheduling should weather or other factors intervene.
Historical head-to-head records between these divisional rivals show the Braves have maintained a structural advantage in recent seasons, though August matchups often carry different dynamics than spring or early-summer contests. The Mets' win probability at 36% sits below their season-to-date performance against comparable opponents, indicating market participants are pricing in Atlanta's home-field positioning and recent form. Comparable divisional games in late August typically see tighter spreads as teams approach the final stretch, yet this market's depth suggests sufficient liquidity to absorb modest position sizes without sharp movement.
Traders should monitor lineup announcements and injury reports released in the 48 hours before the fixture, particularly regarding starting pitcher assignments and any late roster changes. Weather forecasts for Atlanta on 12 August may influence game conditions; thunderstorms are not uncommon in the region during August. Deposit options via Klarna and SEPA transfers allow traders to fund positions efficiently, whilst USDC settlement rails enable rapid withdrawal once the market resolves. The seven-day settlement window provides adequate time for position management or cash-out decisions following the game's conclusion.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $356K.
Methodology
This page compares New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves on Polymarket Klarna UK
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