Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
75% | 25% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
75% | 25% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| NRFI | 47% |
| O/U 8.5 | 46% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 23% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 13% |
| Extra Innings | 7% |
Market context
The upcoming MLB clash between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for 7:05pm ET on Monday, 29 June, pits a home side with modest form against a visiting team struggling with recent inconsistency. The Tigers hold a 35-49 record while the Yankees sit at 48-35 but have lost four of their last five games, including a poor 1-4 run against the spread. With the crowd-implied probability favouring the Tigers at 45% YES, the market reflects a nuanced view of the Yankees’ road vulnerabilities, which include a 21-25 record away from home.
Historically, similar late-June matchups involving a slumping Yankees squad on the road have seen the home underdog outperform expectations, particularly when the total is set low at eight runs. Comparable cases from the 2024 and 2025 seasons show that when the Yankees’ recent form dips below a 1-4 stretch, the home team’s win probability often rises above 40%, aligning closely with today’s 45% reading. This pattern suggests the current probability is not an overreaction but a grounded assessment of the Yankees’ fragility in away fixtures.
Traders should monitor the starting pitchers’ lineups, as the mound matchup remains a critical dependency for run totals and game flow. Recent analysis from Doc Sports highlights the Yankees’ pitching struggles in road games, noting that their bullpen has been exposed in four of their last five outings [2]. Additionally, any late announcements regarding player injuries or weather delays could shift the book depth, especially as funding flows through Klarna and SEPA rails drive liquidity into this market. The settlement window closing on 6 July 2026 ensures traders have time to adjust positions based on these catalysts.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $231K.
Methodology
This page compares Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees on Polymarket Klarna UK
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