Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| NRFI | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| O/U 6.5 | 48% |
| O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants | 18% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Extra Innings | 10% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Colorado Rockies face the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on Thursday, 9 July, with first pitch set for 9:45pm ET. The Rockies, trailing 38–56 overall and 16–31 away, are the underdogs in a contest where the Giants hold a -132 moneyline edge. Current crowd-implied probability sits at 51% YES for the Rockies, a slight lean that contradicts the bookmakers’ preference for the home side.
Historically, similar mid-July matchups between these clubs have produced tight scorelines, often decided by a single run. In their 5 July encounter, the Rockies won 4–3 after a three-run eighth-inning homer sealed the series, yet the Giants’ bullpen and Oracle Park’s power suppression have consistently tilted recent games toward the home team[7]. The 51% probability suggests traders are pricing in Rockies resilience, but comparable cases show the Giants’ late-game strength usually prevails when the script is tight[1].
Traders should monitor the Giants’ bullpen usage and Rockies’ starting pitcher Feltner’s early performance, as Oracle Park limits cheap power and late innings often decide outcomes[1]. The game’s TV coverage on NBC Sports Bay Area and streaming via MLB.TV on Fubo will provide real-time data on pitching changes and defensive shifts[2]. With the settlement window ending 17 July 2026, any postponement extends the market until completion, making live updates on pitching rotations critical for depth in the book[2]. Recent analysis from Scores and Stats confirms the Giants lean but advises passing at the current price due to the tight expected script[1].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.5M.
Methodology
This page compares Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants on Polymarket Klarna UK
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