Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Atlante FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Atlante FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Atlante FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Atlante FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| CF Cruz Azul 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CF Cruz Azul 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Atlante FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Atlante FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| CF Cruz Azul (-1.5) | 0% |
| Atlante FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| CF Cruz Azul (-2.5) | 0% |
| Atlante FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CF Cruz Azul 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Atlante FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Cruz Azul’s Liga MX meeting with Atlante on 1 August is the live event behind this market, and the current 0% crowd-implied YES price means traders are assigning no meaningful likelihood that the “more markets” book clears on the settlement condition. The football side is straightforward: the fixture was scheduled for 11:00 PM ET, with Cruz Azul entering as the more established top-flight side and recent previews noting a strong start to the Apertura and a favourable head-to-head record, even after Atlante’s 1–0 friendly win in June 2025.[1][6][10]
For market reading, the useful comparison is not the match scoreline itself but how ancillary football markets can stay thin until funding conditions improve. On prediction venues, depth is usually best where there is easy on-ramp access and low-friction rebalancing, so payment rails matter: Klarna-style checkout, SEPA transfers, and USDC deposits all shorten the path from intent to trade, while slow withdrawals or higher fees can suppress repeat participation and leave “more markets” events underbet. In comparable football markets, the most liquid outcomes tend to be the standard match lines, while derivative or side markets often lag when the crowd is small and capital rotates elsewhere.[15][17]
Traders should watch for any platform-side announcements on added market lists, deposit promotions, fee changes, or withdrawal support, because those affect whether new money can actually reach the book before settlement. The main sporting dependency is whether the match itself is graded with enough ancillary categories to open more contracts, with coverage outlets already listing the fixture across multiple live-score feeds and odds boards.[1][9][16] If liquidity stays sparse until kick-off, the 0% read can persist even if the underlying match is heavily covered elsewhere, simply because funding flows never arrive in time to widen the market.
Methodology
This page compares CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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