Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 93% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 79% |
| O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| Atlas FC O/U 0.5 | 75% |
| CF Monterrey O/U 0.5 | 74% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 71% |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% |
| Atlas FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 55% |
| CF Monterrey 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 55% |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| Atlas FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| CF Monterrey 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Atlas FC O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| CF Monterrey O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 30% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 20% |
| Atlas FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| CF Monterrey 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Atlas FC (-1.5) | 16% |
| Atlas FC O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| CF Monterrey (-1.5) | 14% |
| O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| CF Monterrey O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Atlas FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| CF Monterrey 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 12% |
| Atlas FC (-2.5) | 6% |
| CF Monterrey (-2.5) | 6% |
| O/U 5.5 | 6% |
Market context
The Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 93% YES. More markets for the Liga MX game, scheduled for August 1 at 9:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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