Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5) | 84% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 71% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? | 64% |
| Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) | 60% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 57% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 56% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 54% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 52% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 5? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 5? | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 49% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 49% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 49% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 48% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 48% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 47% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 47% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 47% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 44% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 43% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 42% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 41% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 38% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? | 38% |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 38% |
| Game 4 Winner | 36% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 36% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 30% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 27% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 27% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 27% |
| Game 2 Winner | 17% |
| Game 3 Winner | 17% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 15% |
| Game 1 Winner | 14% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 14% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 12% |
| Match Winner | 7% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 7% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 6% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: team secret whales vs top esports (bo5) - mid-season invitational playoffs stands at 84% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Secret Whales and Top Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 11:0…
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-S… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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