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LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Fastest route to "LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: MILO (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) 100% Volume: $2.1M Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: MILO (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?99%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?90%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs MIBR.LOS (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: mibr.los vs lyon (bo3) - esports world cup group d stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between MIBR.LOS and LYON in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 15 at 12:10PM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page compares LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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