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LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Which platform accepts which deposit method for "LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs"? Klarna, SOFORT, card, USDC compared.

O/U 3.5 Games 73% Match Winner 66% Game 1 Winner 60% Game 2 Winner 59% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $301K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games73%
Match Winner66%
Game 1 Winner60%
Game 2 Winner59%
Game 3 Winner59%
Game 4 Winner57%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?55%
Odd/Even Total Kills54%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
First Blood in Game 3?51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Odd/Even Total Kills47%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?46%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)44%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?39%
O/U 4.5 Games34%
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)23%
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)22%
Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)7%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 73% YES probability for LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between LYON and Team Secret Whales in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 8 at 4:00AM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page compares LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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