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LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Fastest route to "LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Match Winner 74% First Blood in Game 1? 71% Game 2 Winner 67% O/U 3.5 Games 67% Volume: $162K Liquidity: $249K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner74%
First Blood in Game 1?71%
Game 2 Winner67%
O/U 3.5 Games67%
Game 1 Winner66%
Game 3 Winner66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)57%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Game 4 Winner52%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
First Blood in Game 3?48%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
First Blood in Game 4?47%
Odd/Even Total Kills46%
Odd/Even Total Kills46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Any Player Quadra Kill39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors35%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?33%
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)32%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?31%
O/U 4.5 Games28%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%

Market context

The LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 74% YES. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between LYON and FURIA Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 3 at 11:00PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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