Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
72% | 28% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
72% | 28% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 3.5 Games | 72% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 64% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 58% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 57% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 56% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 56% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 55% |
| Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 52% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 51% |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 5? | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 49% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 49% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 49% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 48% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 47% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? | 47% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 46% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 45% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 45% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 44% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 44% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 44% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 44% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 44% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 44% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 43% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 43% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 43% |
| Game 3 Winner | 40% |
| Game 2 Winner | 39% |
| Game 4 Winner | 39% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 39% |
| Game 1 Winner | 38% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 33% |
| Match Winner | 30% |
| Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
Market context
Market consensus: 72% chance of lol: karmine corp vs dplus kia (bo5) - esports world cup playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Karmine Corp and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 19 at 8:30AM ET. This market wil…
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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