Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| HNK Hajduk Split O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| HNK Hajduk Split O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| NK Istra 1961 O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| NK Istra 1961 O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| NK Istra 1961 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| HNK Hajduk Split 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| NK Istra 1961 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5) | 0% |
| NK Istra 1961 (-1.5) | 0% |
| HNK Hajduk Split (-2.5) | 0% |
| NK Istra 1961 (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| HNK Hajduk Split O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| NK Istra 1961 O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| NK Istra 1961 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| HNK Hajduk Split 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| NK Istra 1961 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Hajduk Split’s home match against NK Istra 1961 is a live football event at Stadion Poljud, and the “More Markets” book tends to depend on how quickly traders can fund accounts and recycle balances around kick-off. The crowd-implied **0% YES** reading suggests no visible interest yet in the extra-market set, which is often less about opinion on the football and more about whether deposits clear fast enough and whether users can move money in and out without friction through rails such as Klarna, SEPA or USDC.
Comparable pricing around this fixture has usually favoured Hajduk strongly: SofaScore currently lists the home side at roughly **72%** to win the main full-time market, while broader H2H data still points to Hajduk having the better historical record at Poljud.[1][17] That matters for “More Markets” because thin books on ancillary lines often only deepen once the main match market attracts fresh cash. When funding is delayed by card checks, bank transfer cut-offs, or conversion steps into stablecoins, side markets can stay inactive even in a well-followed domestic fixture.
The key catalysts are operational rather than tactical: confirmation that deposits are being accepted cleanly, whether SEPA transfers settle in time for Sunday trading, and whether any wallet or withdrawal maintenance affects USDC flows before the settlement window closes.[1][2] Any late squad, injury, or pricing updates from the match trackers could also pull additional volume into props and derivatives, but the stronger immediate driver is whether the payment stack is smooth enough to let traders top up and redeploy quickly into the book.
Methodology
This page compares HNK Hajduk Split vs. NK Istra 1961 - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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