Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 94% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 79% |
| O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| United States O/U 0.5 | 77% |
| Belgium O/U 0.5 | 76% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 73% |
| Both Teams to Score | 59% |
| O/U 2.5 | 54% |
| Team to Advance | 52% |
| United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| United States O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Belgium O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 32% |
| Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | 28% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 22% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Belgium O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | 18% |
| United States (-1.5) | 17% |
| Belgium (-1.5) | 17% |
| United States O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| United States 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| United States (-2.5) | 7% |
| Belgium (-2.5) | 7% |
| O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| United States (-3.5) | 2% |
| Belgium (-3.5) | 2% |
| O/U 6.5 | 2% |
| O/U 7.5 | 2% |
| Belgium (-4.5) | 1% |
| United States (-5.5) | 1% |
| Belgium (-5.5) | 1% |
| O/U 8.5 | 1% |
| United States (-4.5) | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, united states vs. belgium - more markets stands at 94% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 6 at 8:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares United States vs. Belgium - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade United States vs. Belgium - More Markets on Polymarket Klarna UK
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