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United States vs. Belgium - Exact Score

Trade "United States vs. Belgium - Exact Score" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

United States 1 - 1 Belgium 14% Any Other Score 12% United States 1 - 2 Belgium 9% United States 2 - 1 Belgium 9% Volume: $256K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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United States vs. Belgium - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
United States 1 - 1 Belgium14%
Any Other Score12%
United States 1 - 2 Belgium9%
United States 2 - 1 Belgium9%
United States 2 - 2 Belgium8%
United States 0 - 1 Belgium7%
United States 1 - 0 Belgium7%
United States 0 - 0 Belgium6%
United States 2 - 0 Belgium6%
United States 0 - 2 Belgium5%
United States 1 - 3 Belgium4%
United States 3 - 1 Belgium4%
United States 0 - 3 Belgium3%
United States 3 - 0 Belgium3%
United States 2 - 3 Belgium3%
United States 3 - 2 Belgium3%
United States 3 - 3 Belgium2%

Market context

The United States Men’s National Team faces Belgium in a FIFA World Cup Round of 16 clash on Monday, July 6, 2026, at 8 p.m. ET in Seattle Stadium. This match, a critical knockout fixture, will determine progression to the quarter-finals, with the outcome resolved after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. The current crowd-implied probability of 6% for an exact score reflects cautious sentiment, likely shaped by Belgium’s recent dominance and the USMNT’s defensive vulnerabilities exposed in prior encounters.

Historically, Belgium has won four of the five meetings against the US since 1930, including a commanding 5-2 victory in a World Cup warmup on March 28, 2026, which highlighted America’s defensive frailties [3]. Comparable knockout matches in recent World Cups show that exact scores in such high-stakes games often resolve to “Any Other Score” due to the unpredictability of elite-level football, especially when one side holds a clear tactical edge. The 6% probability aligns with this pattern, suggesting traders view a precise outcome as unlikely given Belgium’s superior form and the USMNT’s inconsistent record in tight fixtures [9][11].

Traders should monitor pre-match announcements on lineups, particularly any late injuries or tactical shifts from both squads, as these can drastically alter scoring dynamics. The broadcast schedule on FOX and streaming via FOX One, with pregame coverage starting at 6 p.m. ET, offers real-time insights into team readiness [2]. Recent commentary from Tim Ream on USA’s development in the 2026 World Cup underscores the importance of defensive cohesion, a key factor in determining whether an exact score materialises [8]. Any updates on player fitness or strategic adjustments from coaches will be critical catalysts for market movement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares United States vs. Belgium - Exact Score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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Related Topics

Sports