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Norway vs. England - Exact Score

Trade "Norway vs. England - Exact Score" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Norway 1 - 1 England 13% Norway 1 - 2 England 11% Norway 0 - 1 England 10% Any Other Score 10% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Norway vs. England - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
13% 87% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
13% 87% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Norway 1 - 1 England13%
Norway 1 - 2 England11%
Norway 0 - 1 England10%
Any Other Score10%
Norway 0 - 2 England9%
Norway 2 - 1 England7%
Norway 2 - 2 England7%
Norway 0 - 0 England6%
Norway 1 - 0 England6%
Norway 1 - 3 England6%
Norway 0 - 3 England5%
Norway 2 - 0 England3%
Norway 2 - 3 England3%
Norway 3 - 1 England2%
Norway 3 - 2 England2%
Norway 3 - 3 England2%
Norway 3 - 0 England1%

Market context

On 11 July 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, Norway and England will face off in the FIFA World Cup quarter-final at Miami Stadium, with the market resolving on the exact score after 90 minutes of regulation. The current crowd-implied probability of 6% for a specific outcome reflects the tightness of a match where both sides have scored and conceded in all five of their World Cup 2026 games so far[1]. Historically, Norway’s deepest run ever—reaching the quarter-finals after a 28-year absence—frames this as a high-variance encounter, comparable to past knockout ties where underdogs like Norway have won two consecutive knockout matches against elite teams[3][9]. England’s recent 1-0 victory over Mexico, secured by a Wayne Rooney penalty, suggests they can grind out narrow wins, yet Norway’s perfect qualifying record (37 goals in 8 games) indicates they are equally capable of explosive scoring[7].

Traders should monitor team news and Haaland’s fitness, as his recent two-goal performance against Mexico has already drawn FIFA’s financial scrutiny ahead of this clash[8]. The match’s traction is directly tied to funding flows: deposit friction via Klarna and SEPA rails, plus USDC withdrawal efficiency, determines book depth, with higher liquidity correlating to tighter spreads on exact-score outcomes. Recent previews confirm Norway stands one win from an unprecedented semi-final, while England aims to return to the last four, making pre-match announcements on starting lineups critical catalysts[5]. As settlement ends on 2026-07-11, any postponement will keep the market open, but cancellation with no make-up game would void it entirely, underscoring the dependency on FIFA’s scheduling finality.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Norway vs. England - Exact Score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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