Japan vs. Sweden - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The FIFA World Cup match between Japan and Sweden on 25 June ended in a 1-1 draw, sending both teams to the knockout stage. Sweden dominated the corner count with eight to Japan’s two, a stark imbalance that directly informs the current market’s 100% YES probability for total corners favouring Sweden. This historical split mirrors previous Group F encounters where Sweden’s aggressive crossing and wide play consistently generated higher corner volumes, while Japan’s compact defensive shape limited their own opportunities to earn corners [1][3].

Traders should monitor upcoming knockout fixtures and tactical adjustments, particularly Sweden’s reliance on Viktor Gyökeres for wide attacks, which has been a primary driver of corner accumulation [5]. Recent reports confirm Elanga’s equaliser in the 62nd minute shifted momentum, reinforcing Sweden’s attacking dominance in the second half [5]. With settlement ending 2026-06-25, the market’s depth is tied to funding flows via Klarna and SEPA rails; as deposit fees drop and withdrawal speeds improve, liquidity surges, locking in the book’s confidence in Sweden’s corner advantage [1][2]. The event’s traction reflects not just sporting form but the frictionless payment infrastructure enabling rapid capital entry into this prediction.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.