Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany meet Côte d’Ivoire in a World Cup group-stage match, with FIFA listing kick-off for 20 June 2026 at 20:00 UTC. ESPN’s pre-match market shows Germany as a clear favourite, but the exact-score book is still a low-conviction market because there are many plausible 90-minute outcomes and only one listed scoreline can settle to the headline “YES”. [3][2]

The 4% crowd-implied probability is broadly consistent with how exact-score markets usually behave for a favourite-versus-underdog fixture: the most likely outcomes cluster around narrow home-favourite wins, while any single scoreline still carries a small share of the total probability mass. The only prior meeting between these sides ended 2-2 in a 2009 friendly, which is a useful reminder that the matchup has at least once produced a higher-scoring draw, but it is a thin historical base and not strong enough on its own to override current form or tournament context. [1][8]

For traders, the main catalysts are not team history but funding flow and late information. Exact-score books tend to widen or sharpen when more deposits arrive through low-friction rails such as Klarna, SEPA, or USDC, because fresh balances can improve depth on both favourite and long-shot scorelines. On the football side, watch confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the game stays on schedule; FIFA’s match-centre listing and live pre-match markets are the cleanest references for timing, while ESPN’s board shows the market price in real time. [3][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.