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France vs. England - Player Props

Fastest route to "France vs. England - Player Props": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Harry Kane: 1+ shots 83% Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots 78% Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots 62% Harry Kane: 2+ shots 59% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $2.4M Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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France vs. England - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Harry Kane: 1+ shots83%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots78%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots62%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots59%
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots57%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots57%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots54%
Michael Olise: 2+ shots54%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals53%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots on target53%
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots53%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ shots52%
Michael Olise: 1+ shots51%
Bradley Barcola: 4+ shots on target50%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assists50%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assists50%
Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assists50%
Declan Rice: 2+ goals + assists50%
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals + assists50%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ goals + assists50%
Eberechi Eze: 4+ goals + assists50%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals + assists50%
Manu Koné: 2+ goals + assists50%
Manu Koné: 4+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists50%
Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assists50%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals + assists50%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals + assists50%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assists50%
Rayan Cherki: 3+ goals + assists50%
Dayot Upamecano: 2+ shots on target50%
Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves49%
Declan Rice: 1+ shots49%
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots on target49%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target49%
Michael Olise: 4+ shots on target49%
Adrien Rabiot: 2+ goals + assists49%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals + assists49%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals + assists49%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goals + assists49%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ goals + assists49%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 3+ goals + assists49%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ goals + assists49%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals + assists49%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals + assists49%
Declan Rice: 3+ goals + assists49%
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals + assists49%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ goals + assists49%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assists49%
Elliot Anderson: 2+ goals + assists49%
Elliot Anderson: 3+ goals + assists49%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists49%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists49%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists49%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assists49%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals + assists49%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals + assists49%
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ goals + assists49%
Manu Koné: 1+ goals + assists49%
Manu Koné: 3+ goals + assists49%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists49%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists49%
Michael Olise: 2+ goals + assists49%
Michael Olise: 3+ goals + assists49%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals + assists49%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals + assists49%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals + assists49%
Rayan Cherki: 2+ goals + assists49%
Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assists49%
Théo Hernández: 2+ goals + assists49%
Théo Hernández: 3+ goals + assists49%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots on target49%
Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves48%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target48%
Lucas Digne: 2+ shots on target48%
Adrien Rabiot: 3+ goals + assists48%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 4+ goals + assists48%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals + assists48%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ goals + assists48%
Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assists48%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals + assists48%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assists48%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots on target47%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shots on target47%
Jules Koundé: 1+ shots on target47%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots47%
Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assists47%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals + assists47%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assists47%
Declan Rice: 4+ goals + assists47%
Elliot Anderson: 4+ goals + assists47%
Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assists47%
Théo Hernández: 4+ goals + assists47%
Brice Samba: 2+ saves45%
Manu Koné: 1+ shots44%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target43%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots43%
Declan Rice: 1+ shots on target42%
Manu Koné: 1+ shots on target42%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ shots on target41%
Michael Olise: 1+ shots on target41%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ shots on target40%
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on target40%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots on target40%
Lucas Digne: 1+ shots on target40%
Brice Samba: 3+ saves39%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals37%
Nico O’Reilly: 1+ shots37%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots on target37%
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shots on target37%
Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves36%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots36%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ shots on target36%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shots on target36%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assists36%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ shots34%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots on target34%
Brice Samba: 4+ saves33%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots on target33%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots32%
Jules Koundé: 1+ shots32%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ shots on target32%
Declan Rice: 2+ shots on target32%
Michael Olise: 3+ shots on target32%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ shots on target31%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target31%
Manu Koné: 2+ shots on target31%
Nico O’Reilly: 2+ shots on target31%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shots30%
Elliot Anderson: 2+ shots on target30%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots on target30%
William Saliba: 1+ shots on target30%
Rayan Cherki: 1+ goals + assists30%
Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves29%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals28%
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shots28%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals + assists27%
Brice Samba: 5+ saves26%
Michael Olise: 1+ assists26%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists26%
Michael Olise: 1+ goals + assists26%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals25%
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals + assists25%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots on target24%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ shots23%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target23%
Désiré Doué: 3+ shots23%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists23%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists23%
Declan Rice: 2+ goals22%
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shots on target22%
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots on target21%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shots on target21%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ goals + assists21%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assists21%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals + assists21%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals + assists21%
Nico O’Reilly: 1+ shots on target20%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots20%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals19%
Michael Olise: 1+ goals19%
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goals + assists19%
Marc Guéhi: 1+ shots18%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots18%
Théo Hernández: 1+ goals + assists18%
Adrien Rabiot: 2+ shots17%
Dayot Upamecano: 1+ shots17%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots17%
Lucas Digne: 1+ shots17%
Michael Olise: 2+ shots on target17%
Michael Olise: 3+ shots17%
Rayan Cherki: 1+ assists17%
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals16%
Ezri Konsa: 1+ shots16%
Manu Koné: 2+ shots16%
Nico O’Reilly: 2+ shots16%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assists15%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals14%
Elliot Anderson: 2+ shots14%
Dayot Upamecano: 1+ shots on target14%
Ezri Konsa: 1+ shots on target14%
Marc Guéhi: 1+ shots on target14%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ assists14%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists14%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ assists14%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals13%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ goals13%
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals13%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ goals13%
Elliot Anderson: 2+ goals13%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals13%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals13%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals13%
Michael Olise: 3+ goals13%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals13%
Rayan Cherki: 1+ goals13%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ shots13%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target13%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ assists13%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ assists13%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ assists13%
Elliot Anderson: 2+ assists13%
Noni Madueke: 2+ assists13%
Rayan Cherki: 2+ assists13%
Théo Hernández: 2+ assists13%
Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assists13%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals13%
Adrien Rabiot: 2+ goals12%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals12%
Théo Hernández: 2+ goals12%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots12%
Désiré Doué: 3+ shots on target12%
Michael Olise: 4+ shots12%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists12%
Noni Madueke: 1+ assists12%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ goals11%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals11%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals11%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ goals11%
Manu Koné: 2+ goals11%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals11%
Jules Koundé: 2+ shots11%
Jules Koundé: 3+ shots11%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ assists11%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assists11%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals10%
Rayan Cherki: 3+ goals10%
Lucas Digne: 2+ shots10%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ shots10%
Adrien Rabiot: 2+ shots on target10%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists10%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists10%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals9%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals9%
Rayan Cherki: 2+ goals9%
Declan Rice: 2+ shots9%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots9%
Désiré Doué: 1+ assists9%
Dayot Upamecano: 2+ shots8%
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots8%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ assists8%
Declan Rice: 1+ goals7%
Théo Hernández: 1+ goals7%
Declan Rice: 1+ assists7%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ assists7%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ assists7%
Adrien Rabiot: 3+ shots6%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots6%
Dayot Upamecano: 3+ shots6%
Ezri Konsa: 2+ shots6%
Marc Guéhi: 2+ shots6%
Nico O’Reilly: 3+ shots6%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 3+ shots6%
Bradley Barcola: 4+ shots6%
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assists6%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assists6%
Manu Koné: 1+ assists6%
Manu Koné: 2+ assists6%
Théo Hernández: 1+ assists6%
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goals5%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals5%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals5%
Manu Koné: 1+ goals5%
Declan Rice: 3+ shots5%
Elliot Anderson: 3+ shots5%
Lucas Digne: 3+ shots5%
Manu Koné: 3+ shots5%
Désiré Doué: 5+ shots5%
Harry Kane: 5+ shots5%
Michael Olise: 5+ shots5%
Michael Olise: 2+ assists5%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goals4%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals4%
Michael Olise: 2+ goals4%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals4%
Jude Bellingham: 5+ shots4%
Manu Koné: 4+ shots4%
Bradley Barcola: 5+ shots4%
Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shots4%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists4%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assists4%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assists4%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assists4%
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals3%
Adrien Rabiot: 4+ shots3%
Anthony Gordon: 5+ shots3%
Declan Rice: 4+ shots3%
Elliot Anderson: 4+ shots3%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 4+ shots3%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ assists3%
Declan Rice: 2+ assists3%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ goals2%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals2%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals2%
Adrien Rabiot: 2+ assists2%
Désiré Doué: 2+ assists2%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists2%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals1%
William Saliba: 1+ shots1%
William Saliba: 2+ shots1%

Market context

The FIFA World Cup third-place match between France and England kicks off at Miami Stadium on 18 July, with betting markets heavily favouring Les Bleus to win. France are listed at 10/11 across major UK bookmakers, while England sit at 29/10, reflecting a clear gap in perceived strength despite the tightness of the fixture [11][10]. The 45% crowd-implied probability for the featured player prop aligns with historical trends where top-tier contenders dominate individual performance markets, as usage, role and expected minutes heavily dictate pricing [8][9].

Historically, World Cup player props for elite sides like France and England show that favourites consistently outperform in goals, assists and shots on target, mirroring the “Short Price” rule where winners since 2002 closed at +1200 or shorter pre-tournament [6]. Comparable third-place clashes in recent tournaments saw the favoured nation’s key attackers generate 60–70% of total prop volume, with market depth tracking funding inflows rather than pure sentiment. This pattern suggests the current 45% YES probability is a function of capital concentration, not just form.

Traders should monitor final squad announcements and expected minutes for France’s leading attackers, as live betting can rapidly shift player prop value once lineups are confirmed [8]. A recent report notes that a France vs England final is the most likely World Cup outcome at 35%, reinforcing the high-stakes context for individual stats [3]. Deposit friction via Klarna, SEPA or USDC directly influences book depth; smoother on-ramps correlate with tighter spreads and higher liquidity in these prop markets, making payment rails a critical variable for price efficiency.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares France vs. England - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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