Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Canada and Bosnia-Herzegovina will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 12 June at 3:00 PM ET. The market prices the probability of an exact final score at 10%, reflecting the difficulty of predicting specific scorelines in international football. Settlement occurs at the final whistle after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded. If the actual result does not match any listed option, the market resolves to "Any Other Score."

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in World Cup fixtures typically concentrate liquidity around outcomes within the 1–2 goal range. Canada's qualifying campaign showed inconsistent attacking output, whilst Bosnia-Herzegovina's recent form has been mixed following their 2018 World Cup participation. The 10% crowd probability implies traders view a specific scoreline as unlikely relative to the broader distribution of possible results, a pattern consistent with group-stage matches where defensive stability varies significantly between nations.

Traders should monitor team news and squad announcements through early June, particularly regarding injury status for key players. Recent UEFA and CONCACAF fixtures will provide form indicators; Bosnia-Herzegovina's performance in Nations League matches and Canada's warm-up friendlies will shape expectations around goal-scoring capacity. Deposit and withdrawal infrastructure—including SEPA transfers, Klarna payment options, and USDC settlement—remains available throughout the settlement window, allowing traders to manage positions flexibly as match day approaches and new information emerges.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.