Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| LDU Quito O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| LDU Quito O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Delfin SC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| LDU Quito 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 90% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 90% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 90% |
| LDU Quito 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 90% |
| Delfin SC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 90% |
| Delfin SC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| LDU Quito (-1.5) | 0% |
| Delfin SC (-1.5) | 0% |
| LDU Quito (-2.5) | 0% |
| Delfin SC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| LDU Quito O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Delfin SC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Delfin SC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| LDU Quito 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| LDU Quito 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Delfin SC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Delfin SC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
LDU Quito’s meeting with Delfín SC is a straightforward LigaPro fixture, but the **“More Markets”** book only matters if enough traders can fund accounts quickly enough to widen the order flow. In practice, that means deposits that clear cleanly, low-friction on-ramps such as **Klarna**, **SEPA**, or **USDC**, and withdrawal rails that keep balances moving rather than stranded in idle wallets; where those rails are smooth, market depth tends to be thicker because more users can recycle capital between positions.
Historically, this pairing has not been a pure one-way spot. Across the recent head-to-head sample, the teams have split results fairly evenly overall, with FootyStats listing 29 meetings as 11 LDU wins, 10 Delfín wins and 8 draws, while other databases show a similarly balanced long-run record.[1][3][10] Recent matches, however, have leaned towards LDU: they beat Delfín 4-0 in July 2025 and 3-0 in March 2025, after a 3-2 Delfín win in September 2024.[18] That mix usually keeps ancillary markets alive, because traders often see enough uncertainty in totals, handicaps and match-specific props to justify adding depth beyond the main result.
For this market, the key catalysts are operational rather than tactical: any late change in the listed match time, market availability, or settlement policy, plus whether payment providers remain available for this event window. The fixture is scheduled for 3 August at 8:00 PM ET, and ESPN’s match listing confirms the game is on the calendar.[17] If deposit rails such as **SEPA** or **USDC** are delayed, or card-style on-ramps like **Klarna** tighten approval rates, the “More Markets” cluster can stay thin even when interest in the match itself is stable.
Methodology
This page compares LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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