Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| LDU Quito | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| Delfin SC | 0% |
Market context
LDU Quito face Delfín SC in Quito, with the fixture set for the LigaPro Primera A and the market already pricing a **100% YES** outcome. That sort of certainty usually reflects a market that has either fully resolved on the match taking place or is trading so far through the deposit side that little disagreement remains on the event itself, with funding friction doing more work than sporting uncertainty in shaping book depth.
The football case for reading a one-sided price is not especially surprising: LDU Quito have a modest historical edge in the head-to-head, winning 11 of the last 29 meetings compared with Delfín’s 10, with 8 draws, while preview models and odds snapshots lean strongly homeward, including home-win prices around 1.24-1.32 and away prices out to 10-12.30. That kind of consensus can compress further when fresh balance lands through low-friction rails, because traders using Klarna-style top-ups, SEPA transfers or USDC usually add liquidity fastest when settlement is simple and fees are predictable.
What to watch now is whether any late schedule change, team-news update or venue confirmation alters the final funding pattern before settlement. Match previews published on 2-4 August 2026 still listed the game as upcoming at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in Quito, and the confirmed kick-off window would matter because liquidity often thickens around local evening hours when deposits clear and USDC inflows can be reused quickly across related football books. If the event remains unchanged, the main catalyst is not probability drift but whether traders keep posting fresh collateral into a market that already looks fully crowded.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $266K.
Methodology
This page compares LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →