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Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Fastest route to "Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 69% First Blood in Game 2? 51% Ends in Daytime 50% Volume: $512K Liquidity: $444K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games69%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?50%
Match Winner48%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?34%
Game 2 Winner32%
Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)32%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?1%
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)0%

Market context

The International 2026 Group Stage will feature a best-of-three Dota 2 encounter between HULIGANI and Vici Gaming on 13 August at 22:00 ET. HULIGANI, a rising Eastern European roster, will face Vici Gaming, one of China's most established organisations with multiple TI podium finishes. The match determines seeding progression within the group phase, making early-stage momentum critical for both sides' playoff positioning.

Vici Gaming's historical TI record—including a runner-up finish at TI9 and consistent top-eight appearances—typically anchors market pricing in their favour when facing newer rosters. However, HULIGANI's recent LAN performances and roster stability have narrowed the gap between expectation and execution. The current 100% implied probability for HULIGANI suggests either exceptional recent form, sharp information flow from regional qualifiers, or significant liquidity concentration from early depositors using Klarna's staggered payment rails to fund larger positions. Such extreme probabilities often reflect thin order books rather than consensus certainty; withdrawal friction on SEPA and USDC rails can amplify volatility if traders attempt to exit positions near settlement.

Watch for official TI schedule confirmations and any last-minute roster changes announced via ESL or Valve channels. Fixture delays beyond 168 hours from the original start time trigger the postponement clause, which resets the settlement window. Liquidity depth will depend on payment on-ramp velocity—traders using faster deposit methods (USDC direct, Klarna instant) typically establish positions earlier, whilst SEPA transfers settling over 2–3 days may arrive after initial price discovery. Monitor regional qualifier results and team scrim reports in the 48 hours preceding the match, as these often precede sharp line movement.

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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