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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Trade "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 94% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Ends in Daytime 90% Volume: $490K Liquidity: $710K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner94%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Game 2 Winner85%
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)85%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games15%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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