Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Market context
Ireland Women have already secured a nine-wicket victory over West Indies Women in the first ODI of their series, played today in Dublin. The match concluded with Ireland dominating the contest, leaving the outcome for the prediction market titled “ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies” as a settled fact rather than a probabilistic event. With the result confirmed via ESPNcricinfo, the market’s 0% YES probability reflects the finality of the on-field outcome, not uncertainty about future performance [1].
Historically, prediction markets tied to completed cricket matches resolve immediately once official results are published, with no retrading or probability drift. Comparable cases from 2024–2025 show that markets on finished ODIs settle within hours of the match end, and liquidity evaporates once the result is confirmed. The current 0% YES stance aligns with this pattern: the market is not pricing a future event but confirming a past one, meaning no further funding flows will alter the book depth.
Traders should monitor the official ESPNcricinfo publication timestamp for formal settlement, as DLS adjustments or Super Over rulings (if applicable) could technically alter the declared winner. However, given the nine-wicket margin, no such tiebreak is expected. No new announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies remain relevant—the match is complete, and the settlement window ending 2026-07-22 serves only as a procedural deadline, not a catalyst for price movement.
Sources: 1
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $241K.
Methodology
This page compares ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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