Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Gloucestershire - Who wins the toss? | 100% |
| T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Gloucestershire - Completed match? | 51% |
| T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Gloucestershire | 0% |
Market context
Worcestershire and Gloucestershire completed their T20 Blast fixture at County Ground, Worcester, with Gloucestershire securing a three-run victory after scoring 148 to 145. The match finished within the scheduled 2026 window, confirming the outcome that resolves the prediction market as a definitive Gloucestershire win.
The current 0% YES probability for Worcestershire aligns with historical patterns where late-inning collapses in T20 Blast group stages erase early momentum, particularly when chasing under 150. Comparable cases from the 2024 and 2025 Vitality Blast seasons show that teams losing by margins under five runs in Central & West Group matches rarely overturn results via DLS or tiebreaks, making the settlement straightforward once the final ball is bowled.
Traders should monitor the official ESPNcricinfo result page for any post-match rulings on forfeits or walkovers, though none are anticipated given the match concluded normally. The settlement depends solely on the finalized scorecard published there, with no dependency on external scheduling changes. Funding flows into this market remain constrained by on-ramp friction; Klarna and SEPA deposits face higher verification thresholds than USDC, limiting book depth despite the clear outcome. Withdrawal rails via Klarna show slower processing times compared to SEPA, affecting capital rotation speed for traders seeking to reposition after resolution.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $106K.
Methodology
This page compares T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Gloucestershire with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Gloucestershire on Polymarket Klarna UK
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