Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit | 100% |
| The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit - Who wins the toss? | 100% |
| The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit - Completed match? | 55% |
Market context
Sunrisers Leeds Women meet London Spirit Women at Headingley in The Hundred, with the match listed for 4 August 2026 and the crowd already pricing a **100% YES** outcome. The practical read is that this is not a debate about whether the fixture happens; it is about how the result is ultimately recorded under the competition’s playing conditions, including any ordinary win, DLS adjustment, over-rate penalty, or on-field tiebreak if one is used. [1][2]
The recent comparison set supports treating this as a very low-event settlement. Sunrisers have already started the 2026 campaign with a seven-wicket win over MI London, while London Spirit were defending the title after winning the 2025 final, so both sides have recent evidence of being active, scheduled, and producing full match outcomes rather than forfeits. In 2025, Spirit also featured in a close eliminator against Sunrisers Leeds, which is a useful reminder that tight Hundred contests still generally resolve cleanly on the field. [7][3][6]
For traders, the main catalysts are operational rather than form-based: confirmed team sheets, any late weather bulletin at Headingley, and whether the match stays on the published schedule. Because this market sits within a payment-led flow, the depth is driven by how easily entrants can fund positions and exit them, so friction at deposit and withdrawal rails matters; faster on-ramp options such as card-based wallet funding, SEPA transfers, Klarna-style buy-now-pay-later routes, or USDC settlement can all affect how much liquidity arrives before first ball and how orderly the book looks into settlement. [1][2]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $109K.
Methodology
This page compares The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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