Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Brave - Completed match? | 50% |
| The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Brave | 45% |
| The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Brave - Who wins the toss? | 23% |
Market context
Sunrisers Leeds and Southern Brave meet on 25 July 2026 in The Hundred, the eight-a-side domestic tournament that has become English cricket's most liquid betting fixture. The match will be decided by conventional play or, if tied, by the Super Over format that The Hundred employs. The 64% implied probability for Sunrisers reflects moderate confidence in their victory, though The Hundred's compressed format and weather volatility in late July create genuine two-way risk.
Historical Hundred data shows that home advantage and squad depth matter less than form in the preceding fortnight. Sunrisers Leeds' win rate in recent seasons hovers around 48–52% depending on injuries and overseas player availability; Southern Brave have tracked similarly. When comparable teams meet in The Hundred, the favourite typically wins 55–60% of the time, suggesting the current 64% is pricing in either recent Sunrisers form, a perceived squad advantage, or liquidity clustering around round-number odds. Deposit flows into prediction markets spike around major domestic tournaments, and The Hundred's televised schedule on Sky Sports drives retail participation through SEPA and Klarna payment rails, deepening the book.
Traders should monitor team announcements by 24 July for injury updates and overseas player confirmations, as late replacements shift win probability by 3–5 percentage points. Weather forecasts for Leeds on match day will affect powerplay strategy and run-rate expectations. Fixture congestion in the preceding week—if either side plays a high-intensity qualifier—can depress performance. Settlement occurs immediately post-match via ESPN Cricinfo, with withdrawal processing available the same day through SEPA transfers and USDC rails.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $213K.
Methodology
This page compares The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Brave with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Brave on Polymarket Klarna UK
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