Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix | 100% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
The Hundred’s Southern Brave and Birmingham Phoenix meet in a men’s match scheduled for 30 July 2026 at the Rose Bowl in Southampton, and the 100% crowd-implied “YES” suggests the book is being priced as an almost certain completion with a published result rather than as a live competitive toss-up. Recent comparable meetings have often produced decisive outcomes for Brave: they beat Phoenix by nine wickets in 2025, by 12 runs in 2026, and also won the 2024 league game by 32 runs, while the 2024 eliminator finished tied before Brave won the Super Five tiebreak. [1][2][3][4][6]
That history matters because it frames the market less around team strength than around settlement mechanics: on this contract, any official result on ESPNcricinfo counts, including DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, or a walkover. For traders, the practical question is whether the match is actually played and then formally recorded, not whether it is close on the field, which is why probability can sit at the ceiling even before the first ball. [2][3]
The main catalysts are therefore operational rather than sporting: match confirmation, team sheets, and any weather or scheduling disruption that could affect completion before the settlement window closes on 6 August 2026. For a market focused on funding flows, friction also matters — deposits that clear instantly and low-cost withdrawals such as Klarna-linked on-ramps, SEPA transfers, or USDC rails tend to support deeper order books, while slower fiat rails can leave prices less responsive even when the cricket news is straightforward.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $191K.
Methodology
This page compares The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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