Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenix | 100% |
| The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenix - Completed match? | 51% |
| The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenix - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Manchester Super Giants’ meeting with Birmingham Phoenix is scheduled for The Hundred on 26 July, with settlement tied to the final result published on ESPNcricinfo rather than an in-play headline. With the crowd-implied price at **100% YES**, the market is already behaving as if the fixture will be completed and resolved in the normal way, so the main risk to book depth is less match pricing than **payment friction**: how quickly funds arrive, clear and can be re-used across the event window.
Comparable pre-match reads are mixed but broadly competitive, which makes an absolute 100% print unusually strong. One recent preview puts Birmingham marginally ahead at **48.8%** to Manchester’s **44.7%**, while another frames Birmingham as slight favourites at **53%**; both are far from a one-sided spot.[1][3] That contrast matters for payment-driven participation: when a market is viewed as live rather than settled, depth is usually more sensitive to **deposit success**, card approval rates, and low-friction on-ramp options such as **Klarna**, **SEPA**, or **USDC** than to the cricket model itself.[1][3]
The key catalysts are straightforward: the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or availability update, and the published start and result timing from official score providers. ESPNcricinfo is the stated resolution source, so traders will watch for a clean, timely match listing and final scorecard; any rain-shortened or otherwise altered finish still resolves on the declared winner under the market rules. In practice, the book often tightens when payment rails are fastest near first ball, and broad withdrawal support can keep balances cycling back into later innings or adjacent markets rather than sitting idle.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $82K.
Methodology
This page compares The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenix with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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