Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
55% | 45% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
55% | 45% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London - Completed match? | 55% |
| The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London | 0% |
| The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
The Hundred fixture is a London derby at Lord’s between London Spirit and MI London, and the market’s 0% implied probability sits against a live contest that has already produced tight, high-scoring finishes in this matchup. On 29 July, London Spirit chased 164 to win by seven wickets, while the women’s fixture at The Oval ended tied at 151-5 each, showing that both sides can land in the sort of one-innings, last-over game that keeps settlement live under Hundred conditions.[1][2][6]
For comparable framing, MI London have tended to hold the historical edge in the rivalry, with ESPN’s head-to-head page showing Spirit have struggled across recent meetings even though the most recent result went their way.[11][6] That matters for market depth because short-priced confidence is often driven less by pure cricket form than by who can get money on early: faster deposit rails and lower on-ramp friction usually translate into firmer books, while delays on bank transfers, card rejections, or withdrawal constraints can leave a thin market exposed to late swings. In practice, a market like this can move on relatively little capital when only a few participants can fund quickly via SEPA, Klarna-style instant checkout, or stablecoin rails such as USDC.
The main catalysts are the confirmed playing XIs, toss, pitch conditions, and any weather interruption, because The Hundred can still produce ordinary wins from DLS, penalties, or an on-field tiebreak if the match is tied.[7][9] Lord’s had the match listed for 15:00 local time, and BBC’s live coverage identified the venue and officials, but there is no indication in the available results of any special rule changes that would alter standard settlement.[7][9]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $304K.
Methodology
This page compares The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London on Polymarket Klarna UK
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