Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| CD Tolima O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CD Tolima O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Independiente Medellín O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Independiente Medellín O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Independiente Medellín O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Independiente Medellín 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Independiente Medellín 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| CD Tolima 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CD Tolima 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Independiente Medellín 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CD Tolima (-1.5) | 0% |
| Independiente Medellín (-1.5) | 0% |
| CD Tolima (-2.5) | 0% |
| Independiente Medellín (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CD Tolima O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CD Tolima 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CD Tolima 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Independiente Medellín 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
CD Tolima’s meeting with Independiente Medellín is a live Colombian Primera A fixture, and the **More Markets** book closes at settlement once the match has finished. The current crowd-implied probability of **0% YES** means this side of the market has not attracted visible buying, which is more consistent with a thin or overlooked contract than a hard view on the football itself. In markets like this, depth usually follows fresh deposits and active funding rails rather than team reputation, so payment friction can matter as much as match form for whether secondary propositions get populated.
Recent head-to-head results have been competitive enough to keep comparison cases noisy rather than decisive. The sides drew **2-2** in January 2026, and earlier listed meetings in 2025 swung both ways, including a **3-2** Tolima win and a **3-1** Medellín win, while one H2H data set shows a broader record of **17 draws in 41 matches**. That profile is useful for reading a zero-price “More Markets” line: it can reflect a market that has not yet been funded, rather than one where traders have settled on a true absence of interest.
For traction, watch whether the match remains tied to straightforward on-ramp routes and fast withdrawal options. Klarna-style card funding, SEPA deposits, and USDC transfers each affect how quickly liquidity can arrive, and books tend to deepen when users can move money in and out without delay around kickoff. The main catalysts are late market creation, any platform announcement on supported payment methods, and the timing of deposit-processing windows relative to the 7:15 pm ET start, because these determine whether fresh flow reaches the contract before settlement.
Methodology
This page compares CD Tolima vs. Independiente Medellín - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade CD Tolima vs. Independiente Medellín - More Markets on Polymarket Klarna UK
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