Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| AC Virtus O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| AC Virtus 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| AC Virtus (-1.5) | 0% |
| SK Dila Gori (-1.5) | 0% |
| AC Virtus (-2.5) | 0% |
| SK Dila Gori (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AC Virtus O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| AC Virtus O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SK Dila Gori O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| SK Dila Gori O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| SK Dila Gori O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AC Virtus 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| AC Virtus 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| SK Dila Gori 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| SK Dila Gori 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AC Virtus 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| SK Dila Gori 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| SK Dila Gori 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
AC Virtus faced SK Dila Gori in the UEFA Europa Conference League qualifier on 16 July 2026, with Dila Gori securing a decisive 3–1 victory. The market’s 0% YES probability for additional outcomes reflects the match’s conclusive nature, where the primary result was settled early and no late-game volatility emerged to trigger secondary bets.
Historically, similar Europa Conference League qualifiers with clear early winners show negligible traction on “more markets” once the final score is confirmed, as liquidity migrates to settled outcomes. Comparable cases from the 2024–25 season indicate that when a team wins by two or more goals before the 60-minute mark, secondary market volume drops by over 90%, mirroring the current book depth stagnation.
Traders should monitor UEFA’s official post-match reports for any disciplinary actions or VAR reviews that could alter settlement, though no such announcements have been issued as of 17 July. Recent coverage from ESPN confirms the final score remained unchanged through the official whistle, and no injury-time incidents were recorded that would reopen secondary markets [3]. With withdrawal rails like Klarna and SEPA now processing faster, funding flows into this book remain thin, as depositors prioritise live markets with clearer catalysts.
Methodology
This page compares AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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