Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Alashkert FA O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Alashkert FA 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Alashkert FA (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5) | 0% |
| Alashkert FA (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Alashkert’s Europa Conference League tie with CFR Cluj has a clear historical lean: the two sides have met twice previously, and CFR won both, by an aggregate 7-0 scoreline[1]. For a **More Markets** contract, that kind of lopsided head-to-head record usually matters more for liquidity than for the binary itself, because heavier pre-match interest tends to build only when traders can fund accounts quickly and cheaply enough to take a position.
The current **0% YES** pricing fits a market where the settlement outcome is heavily constrained by timing and information flow rather than by uncertainty about the fixture itself[1]. In payment-led prediction books, depth often depends on whether deposits clear through convenient rails such as **Klarna**, **SEPA**, or **USDC** before the match window closes, since friction on the on-ramp limits fresh order flow and can leave the book thin even when a football event is live. Traders should watch for late line-up announcements, any schedule changes, and whether funding or withdrawal options remain available during the match window, because those operational details determine whether new money can still enter the market before settlement.
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page compares Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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