Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
18% | 82% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
18% | 82% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| CF Villarreal C 0 - 0 Levante UD | 18% |
| Any Other Score | 17% |
| CF Villarreal C 1 - 1 Levante UD | 13% |
| CF Villarreal C 1 - 0 Levante UD | 10% |
| CF Villarreal C 2 - 1 Levante UD | 8% |
| CF Villarreal C 2 - 0 Levante UD | 7% |
| CF Villarreal C 2 - 2 Levante UD | 7% |
| CF Villarreal C 0 - 1 Levante UD | 6% |
| CF Villarreal C 1 - 2 Levante UD | 6% |
| CF Villarreal C 3 - 1 Levante UD | 5% |
| CF Villarreal C 3 - 0 Levante UD | 4% |
| CF Villarreal C 0 - 2 Levante UD | 3% |
| CF Villarreal C 3 - 2 Levante UD | 3% |
| CF Villarreal C 0 - 3 Levante UD | 2% |
| CF Villarreal C 1 - 3 Levante UD | 2% |
| CF Villarreal C 2 - 3 Levante UD | 2% |
| CF Villarreal C 3 - 3 Levante UD | 2% |
Market context
Villarreal C against Levante UD is a club friendly, so the exact-score market is being priced on a match that usually has more lineup volatility than league play. The current 18% YES implies the crowd expects a specific scoreline to be less likely than the broader “any other score” bucket, which is typical when the game is between sides with uneven squad depth and uncertain rotations.
Recent comparable meetings point to a relatively live scoring profile rather than a single dominant script. The senior sides have produced results such as Levante 0-1 Villarreal in February 2026 and Villarreal 5-1 Levante in May 2026, while their 2022 friendly finished Villarreal 3-1 Levante[16][8][17]. Across longer head-to-head datasets, Villarreal have generally had the better record, but Levante have also taken wins, which supports pricing around a range of outcomes rather than a narrow exact score[3][10][13].
For traders, the key catalyst is not a headline transfer story but the funding flow around the event: whether deposits clear quickly enough for late buying, and whether users prefer low-friction rails such as Klarna, SEPA, or USDC before line-up news lands. In football friendlies, price moves often cluster around confirmed squads and kick-off confirmations, so any late announcement about the host club’s C-team involvement, senior call-ups, or a schedule change can matter more than historical H2H alone. The market stays open if the match is postponed, so unresolved fixture timing can keep depth thin until the game is actually played.
Methodology
This page compares CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD - Exact Score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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