Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 98% |
| 1. FC Cologne 2 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 5% |
| 1. FC Cologne 0 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 2% |
| Any Other Score | 2% |
| 1. FC Cologne 0 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 1% |
| 1. FC Cologne 3 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 1% |
| 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 1% |
| 1. FC Cologne 0 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 0% |
| 1. FC Cologne 0 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 0% |
| 1. FC Cologne 1 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 0% |
| 1. FC Cologne 1 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 0% |
| 1. FC Cologne 1 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 0% |
| 1. FC Cologne 2 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 0% |
| 1. FC Cologne 1 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 0% |
| 1. FC Cologne 3 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 0% |
| 1. FC Cologne 3 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 0% |
| 1. FC Cologne 3 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 0% |
Market context
1. FC Cologne and Real Sociedad meet in a summer friendly, with the exact-score market settling on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or extra periods if they are played. The current 0% YES price suggests the listed scoreline is not attracting any visible crowd support, which is common in exact-score books where liquidity concentrates around a narrow set of short-home, short-away, or draw outcomes rather than one precise number.
The cleaner comparison is the recent scoring profile. Köln’s most recent results include a 2-2 draw with Hertha and a 5-1 loss at Bayern, while Real Sociedad have also been in open games, including 2-1 and 4-2 friendlies alongside a run of league draws and narrow results earlier in 2026.[7][10] H2H data from UEFA shows these sides have met before, with one win each across their European tie and a 1-1 draw on aggregate legs, which is more useful as a structural guide than as a direct predictor of a summer friendly scoreline.[12] Footystats also flags relatively high goals and both-teams-to-score rates in the underlying team profiles, pointing to a market that is more sensitive to rotation and tempo than to rigid season averages.[5]
For traders, the main catalysts are payment and scheduling frictions rather than tactical ones. On-ramp access via Klarna, bank transfer, or USDC affects how quickly fresh money reaches the book, and exact-score markets can move when deposits clear around match day rather than when opinions change. Watch for late line-up announcements, any change to kick-off or format, and whether the fixture proceeds as a standard 90-minute friendly or includes an unusual format, because settlement depends on the final score as played.[4]
Methodology
This page compares 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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