Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 4% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 50% YES probability for Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleja…
Methodology
This page compares Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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