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Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn

Trade "Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 2 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 3 Winner 100% Completed Match 100% Volume: $524K Liquidity: $119K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 3 Winner100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 3 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn100%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 4 O/U 10.573%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 4 O/U 8.530%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Total Sets: O/U 4.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Total Sets: O/U 3.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Match O/U 36.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Match O/U 38.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Match O/U 40.51%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set Handicap +/-2.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: shintaro mochizuki vs ethan quinn. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Ethan Quinn in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page compares Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets