National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Platform comparison

Market context

Daniil Medvedev’s match with Botic van de Zandschulp at the National Bank Open sits in a familiar pattern for this pairing: Medvedev has won all four of their previous meetings, all on hard courts, and the most recent was a straight-sets win in Rotterdam in February 2023.[1][3][4] That history matters because the market’s current 63% implied probability is lower than the head-to-head record alone would suggest, leaving room for traders to weigh matchup advantage against form, schedule, and execution risk.[2][5]

For payment-led market depth, the key question is not only who is favoured but how quickly money can enter the book. Markets on tennis draws often tighten as users fund via low-friction rails such as Klarna or SEPA, while on-chain deposits in USDC can move faster but may face extra steps for first-time users; the practical effect is that easier on-ramp access tends to support thinner spreads and sharper repricing around live news. In this case, the main catalysts are confirmation that the match is played on schedule, any late withdrawal or rescheduling, and whether one player arrives with visible physical or form concerns, because a delay beyond seven days would force a 50-50 settlement under the market rules.

The scheduling detail also matters because the market resolves on advancement, not set score, so even a short-notice walkover or cancellation changes the outcome more than a routine upset would. With the event originally slated for 6 August 2026 and the settlement window running to 13 August 2026, traders will be watching tournament order-of-play updates and any official injury or withdrawal announcements first, then any market flow from deposits that land after those updates.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulp with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?

Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.

What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?

UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.

How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?

Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).