Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi. This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Agustin Gomez and Matteo Arnaldi in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federi…
Methodology
This page compares Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Croatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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