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Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Which platform accepts which deposit method for "Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas"? Klarna, SOFORT, card, USDC compared.

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas 100% Completed Match 100% Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner 100% Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $126K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas100%
Completed Match100%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner100%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 Winner100%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Game Spread +/-1.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 21.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 22.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 23.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas. This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jo…

Methodology

This page compares Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
and

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