Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
89% | 11% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Michael Brennan | 89% |
| Beau Hossler | 8% |
| Sung-Jae Im | 2% |
| Benjamin James | 2% |
| Maverick McNealy | 2% |
| Zach Bauchou | 1% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 1% |
| Bud Cauley | 1% |
| Davis Chatfield | 1% |
| Trace Crowe | 1% |
| Joel Dahmen | 1% |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 1% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 1% |
| Harry Hall | 1% |
| Rico Hoey | 1% |
| Tom Hoge | 1% |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 1% |
| Billy Horschel | 1% |
| Tom Kim | 1% |
| Chris Kirk | 1% |
| Patton Kizzire | 1% |
| Brooks Koepka | 1% |
| Ben Kohles | 1% |
| Jackson Koivun | 1% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 1% |
| Matt McCarty | 1% |
| Alexander Noren | 1% |
| Andrew Novak | 1% |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 1% |
| John Parry | 1% |
| Marco Penge | 1% |
| Chandler Phillips | 1% |
| Aaron Rai | 1% |
| Kihei Akina | 0% |
| Daniel Berger | 0% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 0% |
| Chandler Blanchet | 0% |
| Keegan Bradley | 0% |
| Blades Brown | 0% |
| Daniel Brown | 0% |
| Brian Campbell | 0% |
| Rafael Campos | 0% |
| Ricky Castillo | 0% |
| Luke Clanton | 0% |
| Eric Cole | 0% |
| Tyler Collet | 0% |
| Pierceson Coody | 0% |
| Cam Davis | 0% |
| Jason Day | 0% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 0% |
| Adrien Dumont De Chassart | 0% |
| Nick Dunlap | 0% |
| Austin Eckroat | 0% |
| Harris English | 0% |
| A.J. Ewart | 0% |
| Tony Finau | 0% |
| Patrick Fishburn | 0% |
| Steven Fisk | 0% |
| Brice Garnett | 0% |
| Ryan Gerard | 0% |
| Doug Ghim | 0% |
| Lucas Glover | 0% |
| Max Greyserman | 0% |
| Ben Griffin | 0% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 0% |
| Brian Harman | 0% |
| Garrick Higgo | 0% |
| Joe Highsmith | 0% |
| Kensei Hirata | 0% |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 0% |
| Lee Hodges | 0% |
| Cooper Hrabak | 0% |
| Mark Hubbard | 0% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 0% |
| Stephan Jaeger | 0% |
| Takumi Kanaya | 0% |
| Jeffrey Kang | 0% |
| Johnny Keefer | 0% |
| Michael Kim | 0% |
| Christo Lamprecht | 0% |
| Henry Lebioda | 0% |
| Hao-Tong Li | 0% |
| David Lipsky | 0% |
| Peter Malnati | 0% |
| Stefano Mazzoli | 0% |
| Denny McCarthy | 0% |
| Max McGreevy | 0% |
| Mac Meissner | 0% |
| Keith Mitchell | 0% |
| Taylor Moore | 0% |
| William Mouw | 0% |
| Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 0% |
| Pontus Nyholm | 0% |
| Cheng Tsung Pan | 0% |
| Matthieu Pavon | 0% |
| Taylor Pendrith | 0% |
| JT Poston | 0% |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 0% |
| Seamus Power | 0% |
| Andrew Putnam | 0% |
| Player 0 | 0% |
| Player 1 | 0% |
| Player 2 | 0% |
| Player 3 | 0% |
| Player 4 | 0% |
| Player 5 | 0% |
| Player 6 | 0% |
| Player 7 | 0% |
| Player 8 | 0% |
| Player 9 | 0% |
| Player 10 | 0% |
| Player 11 | 0% |
| Player 12 | 0% |
| Player 13 | 0% |
| Player 14 | 0% |
| Player 15 | 0% |
| Player 16 | 0% |
| Player 17 | 0% |
| Player 18 | 0% |
| Player 19 | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
The 2026 Wyndham Championship is being played at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, with the winner determined by 72-hole stroke play and the official PGA Tour result. The listed market at 0% implied YES is consistent with a tournament that is effectively decided only after the final round, so the real trade is not about early certainty but about whether the field and liquidity can absorb late money before settlement. The event’s purse is $8.5 million and the field is large, with PGA Tour materials describing a 144- or 147-player starting field depending on exemptions and late replacements.[3][5][6][11]
Historically, this event is a late-season regular tour stop that can still produce volatility because the field is assembled close to start time and withdrawals are common. The PGA Tour and tournament materials show multiple late changes this week, including Patrick Cantlay, Daniel Berger, Garrick Higgo and Taylor Moore all withdrawing and replacements being added, which is the sort of churn that can keep pricing thin and make the eventual winner harder to model from name recognition alone.[3][2] For a market framed around deposit and withdrawal friction, that matters because book depth often follows easy on-ramp flows: cards and local rails tend to support fast entry, while Klarna, SEPA and USDC can change how quickly outsiders can add size or pull capital back after line movement.
The main catalysts are the live leaderboard, any further withdrawals, and whether the finalists who actually tee it up stay inside the cut line and top-FedExCup pressure band. The PGA Tour notes the field is populated heavily by players ranked around 33rd to 112th in FedExCup points, with many chasing playoff qualification, so motivation is concentrated even if the market has started at no active consensus.[1][8] Trading interest can also shift around broadcast windows and final-round pace, since the tournament runs 6-9 August with weekend coverage through CBS and GOLF Channel, which is when most late funding and withdrawal-driven repricing tends to hit.[5]
Methodology
This page compares PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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