Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 99% |
| Ryan Gerard | 1% |
| Davis Riley | 1% |
| Matt Wallace | 1% |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 1% |
| Peter Malnati | 0% |
| Rickie Fowler | 0% |
| Patrick Fishburn | 0% |
| Keegan Bradley | 0% |
| Doug Ghim | 0% |
| Stephan Jaeger | 0% |
| Michael Kim | 0% |
| Chris Kirk | 0% |
| Ricky Castillo | 0% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 0% |
| Mark Hubbard | 0% |
| Johnny Keefer | 0% |
| Xander Schauffele | 0% |
| Brandt Snedeker | 0% |
| Kevin Yu | 0% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 0% |
| Eric Cole | 0% |
| Rico Hoey | 0% |
| Sung-Jae Im | 0% |
| Benjamin James | 0% |
| Gordon Sargent | 0% |
| Adam Schenk | 0% |
| Neal Shipley | 0% |
| Davis Thompson | 0% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 0% |
| Akshay Bhatia | 0% |
| Tony Finau | 0% |
| Chris Gotterup | 0% |
| Ben Griffin | 0% |
| David Lipsky | 0% |
| Max McGreevy | 0% |
| Jordan L. Smith | 0% |
| J.J. Spaun | 0% |
| Sam Stevens | 0% |
| Aaron Wise | 0% |
| Matt Kuchar | 0% |
| Zach Bauchou | 0% |
| Corey Conners | 0% |
| Steven Fisk | 0% |
| Max Greyserman | 0% |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 0% |
| Billy Horschel | 0% |
| Si Woo Kim | 0% |
| Jackson Koivun | 0% |
| Henry Lebioda | 0% |
| Stefano Mazzoli | 0% |
| Matt McCarty | 0% |
| Keita Nakajima | 0% |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 0% |
| Jordan Spieth | 0% |
| Jackson Suber | 0% |
| Adam Svensson | 0% |
| Nick Taylor | 0% |
| Karl Vilips | 0% |
| Vince Whaley | 0% |
| Cameron Young | 0% |
| Justin Lower | 0% |
| Zac Blair | 0% |
| Jimmy Stanger | 0% |
| Chandler Blanchet | 0% |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 0% |
| Brian Campbell | 0% |
| Rafael Campos | 0% |
| Luke Clanton | 0% |
| Pierceson Coody | 0% |
| Joel Dahmen | 0% |
| Brad Dalke | 0% |
| Cam Davis | 0% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 0% |
| Austin Eckroat | 0% |
| Harris English | 0% |
| A.J. Ewart | 0% |
| Brice Garnett | 0% |
| Russell Henley | 0% |
| Garrick Higgo | 0% |
| Joe Highsmith | 0% |
| Lee Hodges | 0% |
| Tom Hoge | 0% |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 0% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 0% |
| Patton Kizzire | 0% |
| Jake Knapp | 0% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 0% |
| Mac Meissner | 0% |
| Matthieu Pavon | 0% |
| Marco Penge | 0% |
| Andrew Putnam | 0% |
| Chad Ramey | 0% |
| Kevin Roy | 0% |
| Ryan Ruffels | 0% |
| Matthias Schmid | 0% |
| Webb Simpson | 0% |
| Kevin Streelman | 0% |
| Dylan Wu | 0% |
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 0% |
| Player 0 | 0% |
| Player 1 | 0% |
| Player 2 | 0% |
| Player 3 | 0% |
| Player 4 | 0% |
| Player 5 | 0% |
| Player 6 | 0% |
| Player 7 | 0% |
| Player 8 | 0% |
| Player 9 | 0% |
| Player 10 | 0% |
| Player 11 | 0% |
| Player 12 | 0% |
| Player 13 | 0% |
| Player 14 | 0% |
| Player 15 | 0% |
| Player 16 | 0% |
| Player 17 | 0% |
| Player 18 | 0% |
| Player 19 | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
The Rocket Classic is under way at Detroit Golf Club, and the market is pricing a winner from a field led by Cameron Young, with major contenders such as Xander Schauffele, Chris Gotterup, Si Woo Kim and Wyndham Clark all trading in the same general cluster of pre-tournament favourites.[2][4][6] A 0% crowd-implied probability for a named player usually reflects either a thin order book or a field where the eventual winner is still unresolved relative to market depth, rather than a strong read that the tournament is settled.
Recent comparable pricing shows how quickly this kind of outright can move once the first round settles. Before the event, books had Young around +950 to +1200, Gotterup around +1500 to +1800, and Schauffele around +1600 to +2000, while longer shots such as Rickie Fowler, Jordan Spieth and Aldrich Potgieter were priced much further out.[3][4][6][7] That spread matters for on-ramp behaviour: smaller deposits and higher-fee payment methods tend to create shallower depth, whereas cheaper funding rails usually support faster repricing when the leaderboard tightens.
Traders should watch live leaderboard changes, weather, tee-time splits and any official withdrawals, because outright markets at this event can flip quickly as cut-line pressure builds and late contenders emerge.[2][10][16] PGA Tour preview material has already highlighted Young as the man to beat, but the field remains broad enough that a late move from a mid-priced player can still matter.[10][16] For book depth, the main funding-flow question is whether users can get money in and out cleanly; markets with smoother deposit and withdrawal rails, including SEPA and USDC, usually attract more repeat turnover than those reliant on slower card or open-banking routes.
Methodology
This page compares PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
Trade PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner on Polymarket Klarna UK
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