PGA Tour: RBC Canadian Open Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The RBC Canadian Open, held annually at venues across Canada, forms part of the PGA Tour's regular season schedule. The 2026 edition will determine which player claims the tournament title and associated prize fund. Settlement occurs immediately upon official PGA Tour confirmation of the winner, with the market closing at the conclusion of play on the final day.

Historical RBC Canadian Open fields have typically featured a mix of established tour regulars and rising players seeking ranking points, with winning odds rarely clustering around single favourites. The current 5% implied probability for the listed player reflects either a relatively weak historical record at this venue, recent form concerns, or substantial depth in the competing field. Comparable PGA Tour regular-season events with similar field sizes and prestige have historically seen winning probabilities distributed across ten to fifteen contenders, suggesting the listed player faces genuine competitive headwinds rather than technical pricing anomalies.

Tournament scheduling and player availability represent the primary catalysts traders should monitor. PGA Tour injury announcements, course conditions reports from the host venue, and any changes to the event's timing relative to major championships will influence field composition and preparation levels. Recent tour form statements and pre-tournament press conferences typically emerge two weeks before play begins. Funding depth on this market depends on sustained deposit flows through established payment rails; traders using SEPA transfers or Klarna instalments should verify settlement timelines, as withdrawal processing for winning positions may extend 3–5 business days depending on chosen redemption method.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Klarna UK?

Zero. Polymarket Klarna UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.